By Joey Kennedy
Alabama Political Reporter
I’ll admit I blew the prediction on the Republican presidential nomination. No way did I believe Donald Trump was going to win it. I predicted several times that Trump was done.
I was wrong. Trump took it easily, because Republicans apparently don’t want to win the big prize.
I’m pretty comfortable today, two weeks before the election, in predicting that Trump doesn’t stand a chance on Nov. 8.
First, Republicans are at a great disadvantage in a national election. They’ve managed to draw state election districts to their favor. But in a national election, the demographics just aren’t with Republicans.
However, what we may see on Nov. 8 is a landslide – certainly in the Electoral College, anyway – in favor of Hillary Clinton.
It’s not that Clinton is such a good candidate. My goodness, she has so many negatives that her landslide victory will likely surprise even her. Not that she deserves all those negatives; but the former Secretary of State, US Senator and First Lady has been vilified so often and for so long, too many people don’t care about the truth.
But could have Republicans picked a worse candidate than Donald Trump? I’m thinking not.
And Trump has alienated so many groups that he just cannot win. Not going to happen. His base – Angry White Men – isn’t big enough to bring him victory. Even hard-core Republicans have been fleeing from Trump.
So who has Trump offended? Just about everybody, but let’s start with women. How any woman can support Trump and his sexist, vulgar, misogynist viewpoints is beyond my understanding.
Trump has offended immigrants, especially Hispanics. His rant that opened his campaign last year called undocumented Mexicans rapists and criminals.
How about Muslims? Trump wants to ban them from the country. He has picked out one particular religion for his cruel brand of hate.
Because Republicans couldn’t figure out how to grow their appeal, they created Trump. Now, they have to live with him, and whatever remains of their party after the election.
And it could be worse for Republicans than just a Trump loss. There is the chance that the Senate and/or House could go Democratic as well.
I’m not making that prediction, but that’s what some of the pundits are saying.
However, I feel completely comfortable in predicting that Hillary Clinton will beat Trump like a drum. Hardly any question about that anymore.
Joey Kennedy, a Pulitzer Prize winner, writes a column every week for Alabama Political Reporter. Email: [email protected].
